2010 profit + 1179, 2011 + 971

2010 January +236, February +22, March +190, April +198, May +607, June +63, July 0, August -50, September +62, October -240, November +114, December 0,


2011 January +388, February - 80, March 0, April -114, May 0, June -15, July +433, August 0, September +260, October +253, December -154


2012 January +365, February 0, March +236, April +203, May 0, June 0, July





TRADING FOREX MARKET

The fact is that pattern exist is evidence of price manipulation, which in turn creates predictability that produces profitability for those who can see the patterns.

Greggory L. Morris

Monday, September 26, 2011

AUD/USD +260


USD made a huge run in recent weeks, from low seventies to high seventies, where it is currently. At the same time AUD did it in opposite direction, as the markets were selling off. Pair is on the support line that seems very strong, and we think that would take a lot of global selling in order to go bellow. As many are predicting high volatility of the market we think that this is the time to buy, and look for the upswing in global markets where buying will take place, before the end of the year. Reason for fear and worry is always there, but so is the hope and desire to make money. Technically we think that this is the good spot for the purchase of the currency leader when market is on the upswing, and of course we expect that news from China and asian markets surprise on the positive. Target can easily moved to a much higher point than 1.000, but we will play it a bit conservative at this moment. We will cut the trade bellow 0.9600

Thursday, June 23, 2011

EUR/CHF +433


On previous entry we got stopped out, and that is negative. On a positive side is that we have even better entry point, because we still believe that exchange rate between EUR and CHF is far too low to survive at current environment. Imagine how it feels to Swisss businesses that just year ago had exchange rate as high as 1.42. We believe that market is going to bounce back.
Stops @ 1.1720, and profit target 1.2380.

Thursday, June 16, 2011

EUR/CHF (-15)


with the euro is getting it from all sides, particularly from it's neighbor CHF, we think that there is a limit how much currency can slide in certain period of time. Needles to say that key is in resolution of many problems is in Greece. In case of further detoriation we think that selloff will continue but at much slower pace, and in case of any impovements we going to see knee jerk reaction in this pair.
Stops are placed at 1.1770, and targets are set at 1.2380
Stop adjusted to 1.1940, just bellow entry. Caution ahead of Greek confidence vote.

Sunday, March 27, 2011

EUR/GBP (-114)


with the recent Euro advances coming to a stop, it is time to take a short with the GBP, and the main reason for that is expectations of the BOE to raise rates before ECB. Recent developments in Euro zone area do not go in favor of Euro ( Portuguese downgrade, after Spain, and Ireland), and inflation in England is much higher than some of it's members would like it. From technical perspective the pair is just on multi-week resistance trendline at 0.08790. Close above this level on the weekly chart could open the door to further advancements, but with fundamental factors trend-line resistance should hold, and more downward pressure should be come in April. Stops are placed at 0.8980 and above, and target should be placed at 0.8615, and bellow.

Thursday, February 24, 2011

USD/CAD -80


recent moves in oil added strength to CAD what moved the pair to about 0.9820. Oil move was dramatic (from high $80's to just above $100) and this pair did not gain as much, and the reason for that is that market participants that Canadian dollar is just getting too strong. Members of Royal Bank of Canada are getting very concerned about currency strength, because it might hurt recovery that is taking place in Canada. With strong currency BOC has no need to raise interest rate, and we think that market is realizing that. In the case of more turmoil USD is still the safest bet, so we will go long at 0.9820. Divergence is clear on daily chart and we should target 50 simple moving average as the first target.
Market had many excuses to push this pair lower, but decided to pass on it. In case of stabilization in Libya, we expect strong move up, and sharp drop (profit taking) in oil, as well as in CAD.

Tuesday, December 21, 2010

EUR/CHF (+388)



with the Euro in the downfall against many of the currencies, it is entering oversold levels. On the monthly chart, it is about 1500 pips bellow it's lowest levels since 1995. Since there are no significant shifts between two economies, but credit rating downgrade, we think that sentiment will shift just like it did on previous cases, and profit taking is going to help the rebound of the currency. On the previous monthly candles, it is evident that there is strong rebound on each bearish candle. We very well might add on further gains of the CHF in this year
Besides candles we can see strong divergence of the RSI indicator and price, what indicates move higher.
Stops are placed at 1.2340 and profit targets are set at 1.2840, and above.

Monday, November 15, 2010

EUR/CAD (+162)


euro is expected to make moves lower as the worries about stability in europe continue to make headlines. Uncertainty about Ireland need/not need help, will drag the Euro lower, and CAD is expected to continue with progress. Without major news for this week, accept for Tuesday German ZEW Econ. sentiment, headlines, and equity moves will continue to affect the pair on the downside. On technical side 100sma is crossing over 200 sma what is bearish signal, and RSI is marking lower highs. Stop is placed at 1.3915, and target is placed at 1.3680 and lower.